Sterling wins Jacob's Creek Open

Golf Betting Lines

02/18/2007 - Lockleys, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Unheralded American Scott Sterling only managed a one-under 71 on Sunday, but it was enough to collect his first Nationwide Tour victory at the Jacob's Creek Open Championship.

Sterling got to the winner's circle when David Lutterus, who shared the overnight lead with Sterling and Peter Senior, and was tied with Sterling on the 72nd hole, bogeyed the par-four 18th.

That gave Sterling a one-shot victory at 12-under-par 276. Lutterus posted an even-par 72 on Sunday for second place at minus-11, while Marc Leishman (69) and Brendan Jones (71) tied for third place at 10-under-par 278.

"You always have some kind of doubts but to come out on top is great," said Sterling.

Conditions were difficult early on in the final round and most of the field struggled in the blustery wind.

Sterling and Lutterus were not immune to the early trouble. Both players were two-over par through four holes as Sterling tallied a pair of bogeys, while Lutterus mixed three bogeys and a birdie.

Both players calmed down and collected pars, but Sterling reached 10-under par thanks to a birdie at the ninth. Lutterus joined Sterling at minus-10 with a birdie at 10, but Sterling fell one behind because of a bogey at the par-four 11th.

Sterling got back to 10-under par with a birdie at the 12th. He recorded birdies at the next two holes to take the lead at 12-under par. Lutterus birdied the 13th and par-five 16th to join Sterling in a tie atop the leaderboard.

Lutterus made a mess of the 72nd hole with the championship on the line. He missed the fairway with his tee shot, then his approach ran through the green. Lutterus could do no better than bogey.

"I had a good feeling about today, I thought I was going to win," acknowledged Lutterus.

Sterling played the hole routinely and two-putted for par and the win.

This was Sterling's first win on the Nationwide Tour, a circuit he played regularly from 2002-2005. His previous best finish was a tie for fourth at the 2003 Lake Erie Charity Classic.

Last year, Sterling worked on his craft on the Tight Lies Tour and finished first on the money list with over $72,000. For his victory on Sunday in Australia, he pocketed $145,586.

Senior struggled to a two-over 74 and tied for fifth place with two-time winner on the PGA Tour, Craig Parry and Brett Rumford, both of whom shot 71s on Sunday. The trio came in at nine-under-par 279.

Nick Flanagan (69), Peter Wilson (72) and Brad Ott (74) shared eighth place at minus-eight.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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